“When Hinton was interviewed on the American television show 60 Minutes, the interviewer asked whether he was angry at those who had put him in jail. He responded that he had forgiven all the people ...

Bloomberg's Cameron Crise discusses the Fed projections implied by market pricing and economist dot-plot forecasts, based on the FOMC reaction function.

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those ...

This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Macro strategy, with a fixed income and derivative bias. The Fed was dovish up to the June meeting. The Fed was dovish at the June ...

Bloomberg's Cameron Crise discusses how to think about possible shifts in the dot plot and a QT taper in light of the Fed's recent reaction function.